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Inference for the binomial N parameter: A hierarchical Bayes approach

  1. ADRIAN E. RAFTERY
  1. Department of Statistics, University of Washington Seattle, Washington 98195, U.S.A.
  • Received June 1, 1987.
  • Revision received September 1, 1987.

Abstract

A hierarchical Bayes approach to the problem of estimating N in the binomial distribution is presented. This provides a simple and flexible way of specifying prior information, and also allows a convenient representation of vague prior knowledge. It yields solutions to the problems of interval estimation, prediction and decision making, as well as that of point estimation. The Bayes estimator compares favourably with the best, previously proposed', point estimators in the literature.

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