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Biometrika 2007 94(4):999-1005; doi:10.1093/biomet/asm075
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© 2007 Biometrika Trust

Miscellanea

Positive Association Among Three Binary Variables and Cross-Product Ratios

Stephen E. Fienberg

Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213, U.S.A. fienberg{at}stat.cmu.edu

Sung-Ho Kim

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon 305-701, South Korea shkim{at}amath.kaist.ac.krs

Received for publication 1 July 2006. Revision received 1 May 2007.
   Abstract

We show that, when the three-way association level among the three binary variables, X, U1 and U2 is fixed, DP = pr(X = 1¦U1 = 1) – pr(X = 1¦U1 = 0) increases as the cross-product ratio of U1 and U2 increases under the assumption that X is positively associated with U1 and U2. We then discuss some implications of this property.

Key Words: Conditional probability • Discriminating ability • Prediction robustness • Yule–Simpson paradox


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