Articles |
Supremum weighted log-rank test and sample size for comparing two-stage adaptive treatment strategies
Department of Biostatistics, University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15261, U.S.A. wentao.feng{at}novartis.com wahed{at}pitt.edu
Received for publication 1 November 2007. Revision received 1 January 2008.
In two-stage adaptive treatment strategies, patients receive an induction treatment followed by a maintenance therapy, given that the patient responded to the induction treatment they received. To test for a difference in the effects of different induction and maintenance treatment combinations, a modified supremum weighted log-rank test is proposed. The test is applied to a dataset from a two-stage randomized trial and the results are compared to those obtained using a standard weighted log-rank test. A sample-size formula is proposed based on the limiting distribution of the supremum weighted log-rank statistic. The sample-size formula reduces to Eng and Kosorok's sample-size formula for a two-sample supremum log-rank test when there is no second randomization. Monte Carlo studies show that the proposed test provides sample sizes that are close to those obtained by standard weighted log-rank test under a proportional hazards alternative. However, the proposed test is more powerful than the standard weighted log-rank test under non-proportional hazards alternatives.
Key Words: Adaptive treatment strategy Brownian motion Censoring distribution Counting process Proportional hazard Sample-size formula Supremum log-rank statistic Survival function Two-stage design
References
-
Eng K. H., Kosorok M. R. A sample size formula for the supremum log-rank statistic. Biometrics (2005) 61:86–91.[Medline]
Fleming T. R., Harrington D. P. Counting Processes and Survival Analysis (1991) New York: Wiley.
Guo X., Tsiatis A. A weighted risk set estimator for survival distributions in two-stage randomization designs with censored survival data. Int. J. Biostatist (2005) 1:1–15.
Holland P. W. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Statist. Assoc (1986) 81:945–60.[CrossRef][Web of Science]
Huang X., Cormier J. N., Pisters P. W. T. Estimation of the causal effects on survival of two-stage nonrandomized treatment sequences for recurrent diseases. Biometrics (2006) 62:901–9.[Medline]
Kosorok M. R., Lin C. Y. The versatility of function-indexed weighted log-rank statistics. J. Am. Statist. Assoc (1999) 94:320–32.[CrossRef][Web of Science]
Lokhnygina Y., Helterbrand J. D. Cox regression methods for two-stage randomization designs. Biometrics (2007) 63:422–8.[Medline]
Lunceford J. K., Davidian M., Tsiatis A. A. Estimation of survival distributions of treatment policies in two-stage randomization designs in clinical trials. Biometrics (2002) 58:48–57.[CrossRef][Medline]
Murphy S. Optimal dynamic treatment regimes (with discussion). J. R. Statist. Soc (2003) B 65:331–66.[CrossRef]
Murphy S. An experimental design for the development of adaptive treatment strategies. Statist. Med (2005) 24:1455–81.[CrossRef]
R Development Core Tea. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (2005) Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing.
Rubin D. B. Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and non-randomized studies. J. Educ. Psychol (1974) 66:688–701.[CrossRef][Web of Science]
Rush A. J., Fava M., Wisniewski S. R., Lavori P. W., Trivedi M. H., Sackeim H. A., Thase M. E., Nierenberg A. A., Quitkin F. M., Kashner T. M. Sequenced treatment alternatives to relieve depression (STAR*D): Rationale and design. Contr. Clin. Trials (2004) 25:119–42.[CrossRef]
Schoenfeld D. A. Sample-size formula for the proportional-hazards regression model. Biometrics (1983) 39:499–503.[CrossRef][Web of Science][Medline]
Stone R. M., Berg D. T., George S. L., Dodge R. K., Paciucci P. A., Schulman P. P., Lee E. J., Moore J. O., Powell B. L., Baer M. R., Bloomfield C. D., Schiffer. Postremission therapy in older patients with de novo acute myeloid leukemia: A randomized trial comparing mitoxantrone and intermediate-dose cytarabine with standard-dose cytarabine. Blood (2001) 98:548–53.
Thall P. F., Sung H.-G., Estey E. H. Selecting therapeutic strategies based on efficacy and death in multi-course clinical trials. J. Am. Statist. Assoc (2002) 97:29–39.[CrossRef][Web of Science]
Wahed A. S., Tsiatis A. A. Optimal estimator for the survival distribution and related quantities for treatment policies in two-stage randomization designs in clinical trials. Biometrics (2004) 60:124–33.[Medline]
Wahed A. S., Tsiatis A. A. Semiparametric efficient estimation of survival distributions in two-stage randomization designs in clinical trials with censored data. Biometrika (2006) 93:163–77.
Winter J. N., Weller E. A., Horning S. J., Krajewska M., Variakojis D., Habermann T. M., Fisher R. I., Kurtin P. J., Macon W. R., Chhanabhai M., Felgar R. E., Hsi E. D., Medeiros L. J., Weick J. K., Reed J. C., Gascoyne R. D. Prognostic significance of BCL-6 protein expression in DLBCL treated with CHOP or R-CHOP: A prospective correlative study. Blood (2006) 107:4207–13.
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||