Biometrika Advance Access originally published online on August 5, 2007
Biometrika 2007 94(3):627-646; doi:10.1093/biomet/asm048
Copyright © 2007 Biometrika Trust
Articles |
Simulation and inference for stochastic volatility models driven by Lévy processes
Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, U.K.
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McGill University, H3A 2KG, Montreal, Canada
m.gander{at}imperial.ac.uk
d.stephens{at}math.mcgill.ca
Received for publication 1 February 2005. Revision received 1 December 2006.
We study Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic processes driven by Lévy processes, and extend them to more general non-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models. In particular, we investigate the means of making the correlation structure in the volatility process more flexible. For one model, we implement a method for introducing quasi long-memory into the volatility model. We demonstrate that the models can be fitted to real share price returns data.
References
-
Barndorff-Nielsen O. E., Shephard N. Lévy Processes–Theory and Applications—Barndorff-Nielsen O. E., Mikosch T., Resnick S., eds. (2001a) Boston, MA: Birkhäuser. 283–318. Modelling by Lévy processes for financial econometrics.
Barndorff-Nielsen O. E., Shephard N. Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck based models and some of their uses in financial economics (with Discussion). J. R. Statist. Soc. (2001b) B 63:167–241.[CrossRef]
Barndorff-Nielsen O. E., Shephard N. Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Lévy processes. J. Economet. (2006) 131:217–52.[CrossRef]
Bertoin J. Lévy Processes (1994) London: Chapman and Hall.
Black F., Scholes M. S. The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. J. Polit. Econ. (1973) 81:637–54.[CrossRef][Web of Science]
Carr P. P., Geman H., Madan D. B., Yor M. Stochastic volatility for Lévy processes. Math. Finan. (2003) 13:345–82.[CrossRef]
Ferguson T. S., Klass M. J. A representation of independent increment processes without Gaussian components. Ann. Math. Statist. (1972) 43:1634–1643.
Gander M. P. S., Stephens D. A. Stochastic volatility modelling with general marginal distributions: Inference, prediction and model selection for option pricing. J. Statist. Plan. Infer. (2007) 137:3068–81.[CrossRef]
Griffin J. E., Steel M. F. J. Inference with non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for stochastic volatility. J. Economet. (2006) 134:605–44.[CrossRef]
Heston S. A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility with applications to bond and currency options. Rev. Finan. Studies (1993) 6:327–43.[CrossRef]
Jeffrey G. H., Hare D. J., Corless D. E. G. Unwinding the branches of the Lambert W function. Math. Scient. (1996) 21:1–7.
Madan D. B., Carr P. P., Chang E. E. The variance gamma process and option pricing. Eur. Finan. Rev. (1998) 2:79–105.[CrossRef]
Roberts G., Papaspiliopoulos O., Dellaportas P. Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility processes. J. R. Statist. Soc. (2004) B 66:369–93.[CrossRef]
Sato K. Lévy Processes and Infinitely Divisible Distributions (1999) Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Schoutens W. Lévy Processes in Finance: Pricing Financial Derivatives (2003) New York: Wiley.
Wolpert R. L., Taqqu M. S. Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Lévy processes and the telecom process: Upstairs and downstairs. Sig. Proces. (2005) 85:1523–45.[CrossRef]
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||