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Biometrika 2001 88(3):859-864; doi:10.1093/biomet/88.3.859
© 2001 by Biometrika Trust
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Miscellaneous

A shrinkage predictive distribution for multivariate Normal observables

Fumiyasu Komaki1

1 Department of Mathematical Informatics, Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japankomaki{at}stat.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp

We investigate shrinkage methods for constructing predictive distributions.We consider the multivariate Normal model with a known covariance matrix and show that there exists a shrinkage predictive distribution dominating the Bayesian predictive distribution based on the vague prior when the dimension is not less than three. Kullback–Leibler divergence from the true distribution to a predictive distribution is adopted as a loss function.

Key Words: Invariance; James–Stein estimator; Kullback–Leibler divergence; Stein's prior; Vague prior


Received August 2000. Revised December 2000


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