© 1990 by Biometrika Trust
Articles |
Tail probabilities from observed likelihoods
Department of Mathematics, York University North York, Ontario, M3J 1P3, Canada
Received for publication 1 December 1988.
Revision received 1 June 1989.
| Abstract |
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An exponential model not in standard form is fully characterized by an observed likelihood function and its first sample space derivative, up to one-one transformations of the observable variable. This property is used to modify the Lugannani & Rice (1980) tail probability approximation to make it parameterization invariant. Then, for general continuous models a version of tangent exponential model is defined, and used to derive a general tail probability approximation that uses only the observed likelihood and its first sample-space derivative. The analysis extends from density functions to distribution functions the tangent exponential model methods of Fraser (1988). A related tail probability approximation has been reported (Barndorff-Nielsen, 1988b) in the discussion to Reid (1988).
Key Words: Barndorfi-Nielsen's formula Conditional inference Differential likelihood Exponential family Likelihood Saddlepoint method Tail probability Tangent model