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Biometrika 1988 75(2):189-199; doi:10.1093/biomet/75.2.189
© 1988 by Biometrika Trust
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The estimation of residual variance in nonparametric regression

M. J. BUCKLEY, G. K. EAGLESON and B. W. SILVERMAN

CSIRO Division of Mathematics and Statistics Lindfield, N.S.W. 2070, Australia
School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath Bath BA2 7AY, U.K.

A wide class of estimators of the residual variance in nonparametric regression is considered, namely those that are quadratic in the data, unbiased for linear regression, and always nonnegative. The minimax mean squared error estimator over a natural class of regression functions is derived. This optimal estimator has an interesting structure and is closely related to a minimax estimator of the regression curve itself.

Key Words: Curve estimation • Minimax • Roughness penalty • Smoothing • Spline


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