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Biometrika 1983 70(1):41-55; doi:10.1093/biomet/70.1.41
© 1983 by Biometrika Trust
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The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects

PAUL R. ROSENBAUM and DONALD B. RUBIN

Department of Statistics and Human Oncology, University of Wisconsin Madison Wisconsin, U.S.A.
University of Chicago Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.

The propensity score is the conditional probability of assignment to a particular treatment given a vector of observed covariates. Both large and small sample theory show that adjustment for the scalar propensity score is sufficient to remove bias due to all observed covariates. Applications include: (i) matched sampling on the univariate propensity score, which is a generalization of discriminant matching, (ii) multivariate adjustment by subclassification on the propensity score where the same subclasses are used to estimate treatment effects for all outcome variables and in all subpopulations, and (iii) visual representation of multivariate covariance adjustment by a two- dimensional plot.

Key Words: Covariance adjustment • Direct adjustment • Discriminant matching • Matched sampling • Nonrandomized study • Standardization • Stratification • Subclassification


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J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med SciHome page
F. D. Wolinsky, S. E. Bentler, L. Liu, M. Obrizan, E. A. Cook, K. B. Wright, J. F. Geweke, E. A. Chrischilles, C. E. Pavlik, R. L. Ohsfeldt, et al.
Recent Hospitalization and the Risk of Hip Fracture Among Older Americans
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, February 4, 2009; (2009) gln027v1.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Psychiatr. Serv.Home page
V. Stanhope, S. Marcus, and P. Solomon
The Impact of Coercion on Services From the Perspective of Mental Health Care Consumers With Co-occurring Disorders
Psychiatr Serv, February 1, 2009; 60(2): 183 - 188.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Child MaltreatHome page
T. Fuller and M. Nieto
Substantiation and Maltreatment Rereporting: A Propensity Score Analysis
Child Maltreat, February 1, 2009; 14(1): 27 - 37.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Sociological Methods ResearchHome page
M. Schonlau, A. van Soest, A. Kapteyn, and M. Couper
Selection Bias in Web Surveys and the Use of Propensity Scores
Sociological Methods Research, February 1, 2009; 37(3): 291 - 318.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Stat Methods Med ResHome page
P. G Arbogast and W. A Ray
Use of disease risk scores in pharmacoepidemiologic studies
Statistical Methods in Medical Research, February 1, 2009; 18(1): 67 - 80.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Economic Development QuarterlyHome page
J. A. Elvery
The Impact of Enterprise Zones on Resident Employment: An Evaluation of the Enterprise Zone Programs of California and Florida
Economic Development Quarterly, February 1, 2009; 23(1): 44 - 59.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
R. L Tannen, M. G Weiner, and D. Xie
Use of primary care electronic medical record database in drug efficacy research on cardiovascular outcomes: comparison of database and randomised controlled trial findings
BMJ, January 27, 2009; 338(jan27_1): b81 - b81.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NeurologyHome page
L. H. Coker, P. E. Hogan, N. R. Bryan, L. H. Kuller, K. L. Margolis, K. Bettermann, R. B. Wallace, Z. Lao, R. Freeman, M. L. Stefanick, et al.
Postmenopausal hormone therapy and subclinical cerebrovascular disease: The WHIMS-MRI Study
Neurology, January 13, 2009; 72(2): 125 - 134.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
R. J. Moraca, M. R. Moon, J. S. Lawton, T. J. Guthrie, K. A. Aubuchon, N. Moazami, M. K. Pasque, and R. J. Damiano Jr
Outcomes of Tricuspid Valve Repair and Replacement: A Propensity Analysis
Ann. Thorac. Surg., January 1, 2009; 87(1): 83 - 89.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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International SociologyHome page
A. E. Willson
`Fundamental Causes' of Health Disparities: A Comparative Analysis of Canada and the United States
International Sociology, January 1, 2009; 24(1): 93 - 113.
[Abstract] [PDF]



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