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Bayesian rules for the two-armed bandit problem
Department of Statistics, Pennsylvania State University
Recently Fox has suggested and evaluated several non-Bayesian rules for the problem of the two-armed bandit. It this paper several Bayesian rules for this problem are compared with the best of Fox's rules. If a reasonably appropriate prior is used, the Bayesian rules are better than Fox's rule. Furthermore, the Bayesian rules are quite robust with regard to the choice of a prior.
Key Words: Bayesian decision rule Dynamic programming Medical trial Optimal treatment assignment Two binomial problem